domingo, 16 de junio de 2019

Is possible to do free elections with a Totalitarian Regime in the power?


An electoral process involves a series of processes and different actors that are linked in a workflow that aims to get results that can be respectful of the will of citizens or that can simply be a show that simulates democracy and popular consultation.

The components of an Electoral Process (PE) are the following.

1. ELECTORAL REGISTRY (RE): It is the Database where all citizens of the country, by birth or nationalized, who have the right to vote are registered, in theory they must be alive, exist, and be over 18 years of age, in addition to have obtained the nationality as established by law. Usually the RE is a subset of the Citizens Database (BDC) that manages the country.

2. ELECTORAL ORGANIZATION (OE): The council that administers and executes the electoral process. It must represent sectors across the country, including minorities.

3. ELECTORAL SYSTEM (SE): It is the Manual or Automatic System used to record the votes of citizens during the execution of the electoral process, it must be transparent, public and auditable.

4. ELECTORAL OPERATIVE (OP): It is the operative that is deployed during the execution of the electoral process, it includes the personnel that only participate during this day, such as: Witnesses of the parties, Heads of the Electoral Board, support personnel and logistics, besides of security personnel.

5. CITIZENS: These are the people who vote and choose.

6. ENVIRONMENT: It is the social, political, economic and cultural environment that affects the electoral process.

Only one audit over the entire flow of process in an environment of respect for others, with a solid conception of democratic principles, can indicate whether an electoral process will respect the will of the citizens, or if it will only be reaffirmation of a parody of cynical dictatorship.

Can an Audit be applied to an electoral process in a DICTATORSHIP ENVIRONMENT?  is the question that many people are asking. Let's see some ideas about it, for this, we will review each of the components of the PE.

1. ELECTORAL REGISTRATION (RE).
The RE as said before is a subset of the BDC of the country, it registers every citizen that legally exists in the country, with his name, his date of birth, his nationality and place where he resides. The country is made up of dozens of states, departments or provinces, each province has hundreds of towns and cities, each city has hundreds or thousands of sectors or neighborhoods, even more in populous cities.

A BDC and an RE in the hands of an authoritarian regime will very likely become a weapon to control the citizens and to perpetuate themselves in the power through electoral fraud, even more if they feel they are predestined to be the only ones that govern the country, either based on religious or ideological foundations, as happens with the Totalitarian Left.

Is it possible to audit a BDC in a dictatorship?
In a country where mayors of his capital have been imprisoned, or are exiled, where deputies of the congress (legislative assemblies) have been dismissed and imprisoned; where people who protest peacefully are murdered, repressed and imprisoned; where journalists and information media are criminally prosecuted and economically asphyxiated, ...
Response: NO

Is it possible to manipulate the RE?
With the level of development that has reached the Information Technology at this time, it is very easy to do the following:

1.1 Keep alive dead citizens, even only do it for a certain period.
How to do it: You can run an algorithm that retrieve all deceased citizens who are between certain ages, the date of death is deleted, it is saved in a file of transitions; the citizen is now ready to vote, after the electoral process, the transitions file is used to modify the citizen again and place the date of their death or a new date, the date included can be later to the electoral process. To avoid claims you can use the intelligence information over the citizen that will indicate if he/she is anti-regime or not, or if the family is unstructured, and despite being anti-regime it will be unlikely that they make any claim. It can be avoided with Audit. Is it possible to audit it in dictatorship? I think: NOT

1.2. Create virtual citizens
At the BDC all the political divisions of the country are registered, from the province to the last neighborhood in the lost highest mountain in the city, or in the most remote village inland. With a CDB, it is possible to use an intelligent algorithm that, prior selection either manually or through another intelligent algorithm, indicate the villages or neighborhoods where virtual citizens can be created, increasing the population density and doing it with low risk of complaints. These virtual citizens created in the BDC that manages the dictatorial regime will be digitally the same as any real citizen, with the difference that they do not exist, and as said before will be used in safe areas to increase the electoral result in favor of the dictatorship. Here there are two possibilities, or the algorithm automatically generates the vote leaving all the digital traces of it, or virtual citizens are distributed in the electoral commands of the dictatorship to be executed by real citizens, so that a person can vote several times. If the electoral process allows that not all Electoral tables be audited at the end of the process, this gives possibility for the vote of the virtual citizens to be done automatically, for this reason no serious and respectable electoral process carried electronically can deny the audit of all electoral tables at the end of the process.
Is it possible to audit it in dictatorship? NOT.

1.3. Create Electoral Circuits that favor the election of the candidates of the regime.
Using the BDC, one can play with grouping population sectors in a way that ensures an electoral triumph. Here with intelligence information based on electoral trends, or discrete intelligence at the level of individuals, you can solve a System of Equations where the optimal solution will be the one that offers the most possible votes to the regime. Something trivial to do today. You can even adjust the results based on the previous points 1.2 and 1.2.

Can this be avoided in dictatorship? We know that response is: NO, and there are recent examples: Venezuela.

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